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Thursday, August 21, 2025

DOE expects over 5,600 MW capacity in 2025

The Department of Energy (DOE) anticipates a total of 5,632 megawatts of power generation capacity to come online by the end of 2025, with the majority originating from renewable energy sources.

Data released by the DOE as of March 31, 2025 indicates that 4,231.71 MW of renewable energy is projected to become operational this year.

This includes 3,455.14 MW of solar, 557.71 MW of wind, 104.61 MW of hydro, 68.57 MW of geothermal, and 45.68 MW of biomass.

Natural gas accounts for 880 MW of non-renewable capacity expected online in 2025, followed by coal at 350 MW and oil-based sources at 170.74 MW.

The DOE said approximately 400 MW of battery energy storage systems (BESS) capacity is also slated to come online this year.

The DOE reported that for Luzon alone, a total of 4,468.86 MW is forecasted to be available this year. This includes 3,227.819 MW from renewable sources and 1,241.04 MW from non-renewable sources.

Solar power will contribute the largest share of new capacity in Luzon at 2,608.87 MW, followed by wind at 544.15 MW. The remaining renewable capacity in Luzon will come from biomass at 1.68 MW, geothermal at 38.57 MW, and hydropower at 34.55 MW.

Coal accounts for 350 MW of new non-renewable capacity in Luzon for 2025, along with 11.04 MW from oil-based sources and 800 MW from natural gas. BESS facilities will also contribute 280 MW to the Luzon grid in 2025.

The DOE projects a total committed power generation capacity of around 11,736 MW to come online nationwide from 2025 to 2030. The bulk of these committed projects, totaling 4,998.17 MW, are expected to be operational by 2026.

It said 980.69 MW is anticipated in 2027, 88.50 MW in 2028, 600 MW in 2029, and 600 MW in 2030.

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