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Wednesday, July 9, 2025
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PH stocks jump 3.1%, peso ends at 58 a dollar on stable inflation

Philippine stocks jumped for the third straight trading day, rising by more than 3 percent, as inflation rate remained steady.

The 30-company Philippine Stock Exchange index soared 192.02 points, or 3.15, percent to close at 6,281.08.

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The wider all-shares index also went up by 78.73 points, or 2.18 percent, to reach 3,696.66.

The peso closed at 58.09 a dollar Wednesday, up from 58.34 Tuesday.

Bank of the Philippine Islands (BPI) said while inflation reached 2.9 percent in January, slightly higher than the 2.8 percent median estimate, core inflation eased from 2.8 percent to 2.6 percent.

BPI said given the actual January inflation rate, the possibility of a BSP rate cut next week increased. It said, however, the scope for cuts this year remains limited.

“Aside from interest-differential driven portfolio outflow, the economy’s sizeable current account deficit makes the economy more vulnerable to intensifying external shocks i.e. global trade tensions. Cutting the policy rate aggressively could amplify this vulnerability and exert unmanageable pressure on the Peso,” BPI said.

“We therefore continue to expect a total of 50 bps in RRP rate cuts this year, which will bring the policy rate to 5.25% by year-end,” it said.

All sectors ended in the positive territory, with property gaining the most, up 4.81 percent followed by holding firms which rose 4.09 percent.

Value turnover reached P7.18 billion, with 127 winners against 68 decliners.

Share price of SM Prime Holdings Inc. climbed 7.22 percent to P26, while China Banking Corp. declined 2.17 percent to P90.

Meanwhile, Asian equity markets stumbled Wednesday and gold hit a new record as investors kept tabs on China and the United States after they exchanged tariffs, sparking fears of another debilitating trade war between the economic superpowers.

Shanghai, which reopened after a week-long break, and Hong Kong were among the main losers as e-commerce firms took a hit from news that the US Postal Service was suspending inbound parcels from China and Hong Kong.

The tepid performance came despite a positive lead from Wall Street, where there was a sigh of relief that US President Donald Trump had reached a deal to delay 25 percent duties on imports from Canada and Mexico.

Disappointing earnings from Google-parent Alphabet and Advanced Micro Devices added to the unease over the tech sector, which has already been roiled by the unveiling of a new chatbot by Chinese startup DeepSeek.

All eyes were on Washington and Beijing after they renewed their trade spat, though analysts said China’s apparently more measured approach provided some hope that a full-blown crisis could be avoided.

China on Wednesday expressed its “resolute opposition” to US tariffs on its exports and called for “dialogue” to resolve trade differences.

Kai Wang, Asia equity market strategist at Morningstar, said: “Regarding China’s counter measures, we think that the tariffs are less than what we had expected in our view. The move is largely symbolic given that only about 12% of total imports from the US would be subject to tariffs.”

“A key takeaway from this development, at least for now, is that fundamentally there is less risk implied than expected before,” he added.

“However, escalation of the trade war remains a risk given Trump’s history of unpredictable behaviour. Therefore, the volatility risk remains on the table for the next four years at least,” he said.

Economists at HSBC Global Research added that China’s “moves so far are more measured compared with the universal 10 percent tariff imposed by the US, suggesting a likely different playbook than a tit-for-tat strategy, though we acknowledge the risk of escalation has increased”.

Hong Kong fell about one percent, with e-commerce giant JD.com sinking nearly four percent and rival Alibaba also lower on news of the US Postal Service suspension.

Trump’s tariff announcement against China included the removal of an allowance — used by China’s e-commerce firms — that exempted small packages worth less than $800 from duties. The suspension does not involve letters and flat mail.

Shanghai dropped as it reopened after a week-long break, while Singapore, Wellington, Mumbai, Bangkok and Jakarta also retreated, though Sydney, Seoul, Taipei and Manila rose.

Tokyo reversed earlier losses, though Nissan dived 4.9 percent after Japan’s Nikkei business daily and other media said the carmaker had decided to withdraw from merger talks with rival Honda.

The losses came before trading in the firm was suspended by the Tokyo Stock Exchange, which said the reports needed to be verified.

Shares in Honda ended up 8.2 percent, having soared nearly 12 percent at one point.

London, Paris and Frankfurt all fell at the open.

Gold hit a fresh peak above $2,866 as investors rushed into the safe-haven metal.

Tech firms were also under pressure after Alphabet sank 7.5 percent in after-hours trade in New York owing to disappointment at its lower-than-expected revenue growth and its ambitious 2025 capital spending forecast.

Advanced Micro Devices also sank in post-close business.

The tech sector has been feeling some pain since DeepSeek’s arrival on the scene with its chatbot, which apparently was developed at a fraction of the cost of similar tools made by US firms, stoking concerns about the eye-watering investments made in AI in recent years.

On currency markets, the yen strengthened against the dollar following data showing nominal wages in Japan rose far more than expected last month and at the fastest pace since 1997.

That firmed expectations the country’s central bank would continue to hike interest rates this year. With AFP

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